Turkey could import 1 million barrels of oil daily under new Iraqi energy agreement

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Turkey and Iraq just sat down to talk oil — and the number on the table is 1 million barrels a day.

That's not a typo.

That's a pipeline coming back from the dead.

Here's the part that makes this wild.

The Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline — the one that carries Iraqi crude straight to Turkey's Mediterranean coast — sat completely idle for two and a half years.

March 2023 to September 2025. Frozen.

When it finally restarted, it was limping along at barely 250,000 barrels a day.

Now Erdogan is talking about 4x-ing that number.


🛢️ So what actually happened in Ankara?

Iraqi PM Ali al-Zaidi flew into Turkey this week for talks on energy, security, trade and water.

The headline outcome:

  • 📜 Turkey and Iraq agreed to fast-track a full energy cooperation deal
  • 🤝 Turkish state firm TPAO picked up a 15% stake in BP's Kirkuk oil venture
  • 🚧 Both sides discussed a new pipeline linking Basra, all the way in southern Iraq, through Haditha up to Ceyhan
  • 🇸🇾 A branch line to Syria's Baniyas port is even on the table

Translation: Iraq wants more ways to get oil out that don't depend on the Persian Gulf.


🌍 This isn't happening in a vacuum

Al-Zaidi's Ankara stop came right after trips to Washington and Tehran.

Earlier this month, US companies signed roughly $60 billion in deals with Iraq — some explicitly designed to create export routes that bypass the Gulf entirely.

Everyone, it seems, wants a piece of Iraq's oil map right now.

And there's a second story running underneath the energy talk.

Turkey is trying to permanently close the book on its decades-long conflict with the PKK, whose fighters are based across the border in northern Iraq.

The group announced it was disbanding last year. Turkey is now drafting legislation — including a limited amnesty — to lock that peace in.

"We will permanently remove this issue from our agenda," Erdogan said.


⚡ The bigger picture

Al-Zaidi isn't done traveling either — Saudi Arabia is next, right as Riyadh accuses Iran-backed Iraqi militias of drone strikes on its soil.

One country. One prime minister. Four capitals in a matter of weeks.

Oil, security, and geopolitics — all being renegotiated at once.

That's all for now!